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industry2026-12-087 min read

Where Customer Behavior is Heading in 2026 — 9 Practical Predictions

Combining Deloitte's 2026 outlook with thMenu's 280-restaurant usage data: contactless payments, AI recommendations, voice ordering, and more.

th

thMenu Team

thmenu.com

A 40-table resort restaurant in Belek, Antalya rebuilt its digital menu and payment flow at season start; by season end its reservation occupancy hit 91%. In this article we share 9 clear trends shaping customer behavior in 2026, layering the Deloitte Restaurant Industry 2026 outlook on top of thMenu's 280-restaurant usage dataset.

Payment and Ordering Shifts

First, contactless payment share is climbing to 72%; Apple Pay, Google Pay, and QR-pay are eating cash share fast. Second, the QR-ordering-from-table share reached 48% in our sample — for the 25–44 cohort this is now the default.

Third, "split bill" requests rose 34% in the last 12 months. Restaurants that can't offer digital bill splitting in group settings see tipping drop noticeably.

AI, Voice, and AR Trends

AI-powered menu recommendations (e.g. "today's favorites" or personalized combos) push click-through to 35%. Voice ordering pilots are live in 18% of fast-casual chains, especially in drive-thru contexts.

  • AR menus: 12% of fast-casual chains now offer AR food visualization.
  • Allergen filters: Usage of gluten/lactose/vegan filters reached 61%.
  • Sustainability badges: Products labeled "local producer" sell 22% more.

Loyalty, Feedback, and Speed

Guests now weigh Instagram stories and short-form TikTok as heavily as Google reviews. Restaurants with UGC presence collect 27% more reservation funnel impressions. Instant in-venue feedback (5-star + optional comment via QR) catches negative experiences in the moment — operators recover the lost guest in 48% of cases.

Wait tolerance keeps falling: under-25 diners abandon at a 12-minute wait. The Belek resort case enabled waiter-call + bill-request + order-from-table; average wait dropped from 9 minutes to 4 minutes, and occupancy reached 91%.

FAQ

Are these trends already too late? No — contactless and QR menus matured, but AI recommendations, AR, and voice ordering still offer early-mover advantage.

Which 3 should a small café start with? Contactless payment, QR menu + order-from-table, and instant feedback — low cost, highest impact.

Where does this data come from? Deloitte's Restaurant Industry 2026 outlook combined with thMenu's 280-restaurant usage dataset.

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